Photo Credit: Fox/American Idol
Last week the Top 8 became the Top 6. As I predicted, the Bottom 3 were Lee, Sonika and Avalon and Sonika was saved by the judges/producers. My theory is that the show wants the following contestants in the Top 5: Dalton, MacKenzie, LaPorsha, Tristan and Trent. For awhile they may have wanted Sonika to advance, but she doesn’t seem to have kept their support. In an interview last week, Scott Borchetta made comments about Sonika not having had more than one great performance, etc. He praised Avalon as the stronger contestant, implying that he would have saved her. But then again, Borchetta also recently said in an interview that he is involved in the judges’ decisions about who to save, referring to a wink and a nod that I assume meant he guided their decision. So in that case, why didn’t they save Avalon?
I don’t believe that Avalon had the lowest or the second lowest number of votes last week. She was coming off of her very strong performance of Earned It. Since last week was apparently the last week of the judges/producers’ save, they needed to pick off the strongest of the three lowest vote getters. TPTB are probably pretty confident that Sonika will have the lowest number of votes this week and the media spin of how Sonika didn’t live up to her potential has already been started by Borchetta. My thought is that if they didn’t eliminate Avalon while they had the chance last week, they were afraid that she might outperform some of their “chosen” contestants and make it into the Top 5. I think they were afraid that Avalon Young would pull a Haley Reinhart on them and keep gaining momentum. Oh, if only they hadn’t put in place that phony judges’ save and let America’s vote really count! Most likely Lee and Sonika would have gone home last week and Avalon – well, Avalon would have had a chance to show us how far she could have gotten in the competition. But TPTB surely remember how Haley Reinhart kept giving knockout performances and escaping elimination and how it sure felt like the show was doing everything it could to try to stop her. Haley went all the way to the Top 3. Do you think the show was afraid that Avalon Young might do the same? That’s what I think and I think that’s why they didn’t save her last week while the decision was still in the hands of the judges/show/producers/record label guy, etc.
If this week’s elimination is truly in the hands of the viewers, then we know that the choice is supported by the producers (or else they would have changed the rules again and kept the judges’ save another week). Based on this, my guess is that Sonika will be going home.